What is customer lifetime value?

Customer lifetime value (LTV or CLV) estimates how much gross profit an average customer generates before they cancel. It tells you how much you can afford to spend acquiring a customer, and whether your growth engine makes money or burns it.

The LTV formula

LTV = (ARPU × gross margin) ÷ monthly churn rate

  • ARPU: average monthly revenue per customer (get it from the MRR calculator)
  • Gross margin: revenue minus the direct costs of serving customers (hosting, third-party APIs, payment fees, support) as a percentage of revenue. Software usually lands at 75–90%.
  • Monthly churn: from the churn rate calculator

Dividing by churn is the same as multiplying by the average customer lifetime (1 ÷ churn).

Worked example

ARPU $40, gross margin 85%, monthly churn 3%:

  • Monthly gross profit per customer = $40 × 0.85 = $34
  • Average lifetime = 1 ÷ 0.03 = 33 months
  • LTV = $34 ÷ 0.03 = $1,133

LTV:CAC ratio

LTV:CAC = LTV ÷ customer acquisition cost

CAC is everything you spend to win a customer (ads, sales salaries, tools, content) divided by the new customers it produced.

LTV:CAC What it means
Below 1:1 Each customer loses money. Stop scaling spend.
1:1 – 3:1 Thin margins. Improve retention or pricing first.
About 3:1 The widely cited healthy target
Above 5:1 Very efficient. You may be under-investing in growth.

CAC payback period

Payback (months) = CAC ÷ (ARPU × gross margin)

Payback measures how long it takes to earn back what you spent acquiring a customer. Bootstrapped founders often care about this more than LTV, because cash spent today has to come back before you run out. Under 12 months is healthy for SMB SaaS. Under 6 is excellent.

Caveats

  • Early-stage LTV is a guess. With a few months of data, churn estimates are noisy, and low churn can produce absurd LTVs. Many teams cap lifetime at 3–5 years.
  • Use gross margin, not revenue. Revenue-based LTV overstates what a customer is really worth.
  • Segment it. LTV for annual customers on a Pro plan is very different from monthly Starter customers.

How to increase LTV

Lower churn (the biggest lever), raise prices, add expansion revenue like seats or usage tiers, and push annual plans. See how to price your SaaS and how to reduce churn.